Haiti’s
largest electoral observation coalition has reiterated its call for a
verification of the vote, after the country’s elections were halted amid
growing popular outcry against fraud. The coalition, composed of Solidarite
Fanm Ayisyen (SOFA), the Conseil National d'Observation Électorale (CNO), the
Conseil Haïtien des Acteurs Non Étatiques (CONHANE) and the Réseau National de
Défense des Droits Humains (RNDDH), declared
that a verification was necessary to uphold Haitians’ right to vote and to
avoid “a major political and electoral crisis.” Massive protests and a boycott
by one of the leading presidential candidates forced the suspension of second-round
presidential and legislative elections, scheduled for January 24.
Without
an elected successor to take his place, President Michel Martelly stepped down
when his term ended on February 7, and handed power over to a provisional
government tasked with completing the electoral process. Whether or not the
provisional government will hold an independent investigation to verify
previous electoral results is hotly debated by the major players involved in
Haiti’s twice-postponed elections.
Human
rights leaders, opposition politicians and local observers insist that an
investigation into fraud is necessary in order to validate election returns. Pierre
Esperance, executive director of the RNDDH, which led the coalition’s
observation efforts, pointed out that his group had requested a verification
just days after the October vote. “The election was canceled because of the
political crisis. How can you go to the second round without a verification?”
he wondered. Rosny Desroches, leader of a local observation group funded by the
U.S. and Canada, also said that he believed a verification commission would
need to be put in place before moving forward. Many fear that without an investigation,
the same unrest that contributed to the previous election’s cancelation will
simply repeat itself.
The
demand for an independent verification of the vote, however, is strongly
opposed by Martelly and his allies in Parliament, many of whom were elected in
the very tainted elections the provisional government is now considering
investigating. Many powerful members of the international community also favor
going forward on the basis of the existing election results, despite growing political
momentum in Haiti for a verification commission. Kenneth Merten, the U.S. State
Department Haiti Special Coordinator told the press earlier this month:
I think, as I recall, the agreement talks about a completion of the process. And the process so far, I mean, has resulted in two candidates, Jude Celestin and Jovenel Moise, proceeding to the next round. From what I have understood from observers on the ground [ ... ] they understand that that is what the results showed, and my guess is that’s what’s going to happen moving forward.
Donor
governments, including the U.S., have contributed the majority of the $100
million in funding for the electoral process and are concerned that a
verification will lead to new elections entirely, meaning more delays and more
dollars.
Allegations
of widespread fraud by the ruling party have dogged the Haitian electoral
process since it began in August 2015. On August 9, legislative
elections for the entire 119-member Chamber of Deputies and 20 of the 30
members of the Senate were plagued by violence and fraud. Armed gangs disrupted
the vote throughout the country; votes from a nearly a quarter of all voting
centers were never counted. The electoral council (CEP) warned parties
responsible for the violence - mostly pro-government parties - and sanctioned a
few candidates, but stopped short of further penalties allowing many parties
and candidates responsible for the election day disaster to stay in the race.
In some 25 districts, races had to be rerun due to the number of
irregularities.
In
October, presidential elections were held alongside the second-round
legislative races. Though violence was reduced, local observer groups reported
widespread electoral fraud. In Haiti, parties are allowed to have
representatives, called mandataires,
at each voting booth throughout the country. Given a special accreditation
pass, these representatives are able to vote wherever they are present without
being on the voter list. In the days leading up to the vote, the CEP
distributed more than 900,000 of these passes. With 128 registered
political parties and 54 presidential candidates – many proxies for other
interests – Haiti was flooded with these passes, which were bought and sold in
a thriving black market. In the West department, home to 40 percent of registered
voters, the EU electoral observation mission noted that some 50
percent of voters were mandataires.
Local observers noted that due to inadequate training or the complicity of poll
workers, safeguards to prevent multiple voting by mandataires were often not followed.
While
local observers denounced
the fraud and questioned
the results, international officials and observation mission officials
praised the election. The Organization of American States (OAS) said that its
quick count on election day validated the results – an assertion repeated by
leading U.S. officials. However, it was later
revealed that the OAS quick counts only confirmed the arithmetic involved
in the vote count, and didn’t say anything about the legitimacy of the votes
being counted.
Eight
of the leading opposition candidates refused to recognize the results,
including Jude Celestin, who official results said came in second behind
Martelly’s hand-picked successor, Jovenel Moise. Celestin was scheduled to face
Moise in a run-off election for the presidency. An election-day survey of
voters (that excluded mandataires) showed
Moise as the choice of just 6 percent of respondents. Official results,
however, gave Moise 33 percent of the vote.
Under
enormous pressure, President Martelly agreed to establish an evaluation
commission in late December 2015, hoping to dispel the serious doubts raised
about the credibility of the election results. The presidential runoff,
scheduled for December 27, was postponed. The Evaluation Commission, however,
uncovered deep, structural irregularities in the election results, only
reinforcing doubts about their credibility.
According
to the commission’s report, 92 percent of voting booth tally sheets contained
at least one “grave irregularity,” while some 50 percent contained three or
more. Among the leading problems were a lack of voter registration numbers or
identification numbers, evidence of tampering and missing poll workers'
signatures. The commission also confirmed that multiple voting by mandataires was
common, especially in urban areas. The report warned
that a “President of the Republic and other elected officials issued from
elections tarnished by major irregularities would further aggravate the
political crisis and instability of the country.”
But
with just days to perform the task, the commission’s conclusions were tentative.
“We did not have enough time to determine if the results were acceptable,”
Rosny Desroches, who served on the commission, recently acknowledged.
Undaunted,
Martelly immediately scheduled the second-round election by decree for late
January 2016. Opposition to the elections continued to grow; religious leaders,
private sector business groups and even, eventually, some in the international
community made clear that moving forward with the election would not produce a
legitimate government. Less than 48 hours before voting was scheduled to begin,
the election was officially canceled.
Senate
president Jocelerme Privert was selected to oversee the political transition in
Haiti and given a term of 120 days as interim president. His primary goal is to
re-establish trust and credibility to an electoral process that has seen
near-record low participation by voters. While low turnout has frequently been
chalked up to apathy or a generalized disgust with politicians, a recent
survey found that three-quarters of Haitian voters would participate in an
election if they believed it was free and fair. But in August and October, less
than a quarter of the electorate actually voted.
In
order to establish trust and credibility in the electoral process, a
verification commission must be independent and Haitian-led. Haitians are
understandably wary of foreign meddling, as an international mission in 2010 overturned Haiti’s
electoral results without performing a recount or statistical analysis. Any
effort in 2016 must be careful to not repeat those mistakes – using a
commission as a smokescreen to oust a candidate from the race. Instead, the
commission must go to great lengths to establish a fair and transparent process
for validating results and making recommendations on how to improve the elections.
1 comment:
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