After
a slow start, Haiti’s elections are beginning to heat up. Preparations for the
October 9 vote are on track, according to the Provisional Electoral Council
(CEP) and all of the major presidential candidates that participated in the
annulled October 25 election are again in the race. Sixteen Senate seats are
also up for grabs. The US and other powerful members of the international
community in Haiti have softened their criticisms of the decision to rerun the presidential
race, but concerns about violence disrupting the electoral process have been
raised by a high-profile arms seizure in Saint-Marc.
The
CEP’s electoral preparations are advancing well and materials are arriving on
time from Dubai. The CEP announced
that political parties had registered 130,806 polling station representatives (mandataires) for the October 9 vote.
Advance registration of mandataires
was introduced to prevent a repetition of the problems that arose during the
October 25 elections, when the previous CEP distributed 915,675 mandataire accreditations with very few
controls. Lax safeguards allowed the huge number of accreditations to be
illegally bought and sold and used to cast multiple votes, the Verification
Commission found. The CEP also published
electoral lists so that voters can verify which polling station they are
assigned to one month before the elections as promised. The Haitian National
Police announced that every single officer will be mobilized on October 9 to
provide security.
While
expressing a guarded optimism about the progress made, the Catholic Church’s
Justice and Peace Commission called
on the CEP to make public its evaluation of the electoral machinery. Pitit
Dessalines’ presidential candidate Moise Jean-Charles, meanwhile, decried
the possible influence of businessman Andy Apaid Jr. within the Tabulation
Center. Jean-Charles alleged that Apaid, a vocal critic of Lavalas and civic
opposition leader during the second Aristide government (2000-2004), was hired
as a consultant by the CEP. Executive Director Uder Antoine replied
that the electoral council has not signed any contract with Apaid. CEP
President Léopold Berlanger has previously served on the board of directors of
an NGO, Fondation Nouvelle Haiti, with Apaid.
American
diplomats have adopted a more conciliatory tone since cutting off funding in
response to the rerunning of the presidential race. US Ambassador Peter Mulrean
welcomed
Haiti’s decision to finance the elections itself, stating that having another
country pay for elections is an “anomaly.” The OAS announced
that it will send 130 observers for the October 9 elections, led by former
Uruguayan Senator Juan Raul Ferreira. “Even though we never expressly accepted
that the right decision was to do a redo, the OAS is there,” said Gerardo de
Icaza, director of the hemispheric body’s department of electoral cooperation
and observation. “We’re happy that at least a political crisis is being solved
through a democratic way.” De Icaza said that the CEP was implementing some of
its recommendations for improving the electoral process. The OAS has also
offered statistical training for quicker preliminary election results. The OAS’s
own statistical expertise, however, has been questioned
due to its misleading use of “quick count” vote tallies in the previous rounds.
The OAS has deployed
15 electoral observation missions to Haiti since 1990.
The
EU withdrew its observers after the CEP accepted the Verification Commission’s
recommendation to annul the October 25 presidential vote, but France signed
an agreement with the OAS to contribute to their observation efforts in 2016. A
recent report by the National Lawyers Guild, International Association of
Democratic Lawyers and the Haiti Support Group decried
the “monumental failure” of international observers during the first two rounds
in 2015 and called for the foreign monitors to report more honestly and
objectively on October 9.
PHTK’s
Jovenel Moise was one of the first presidential candidates to hit the campaign
trail in anticipation of the October 9 vote, but was dogged by controversy
early on. The Unité centrale de renseignements financiers (UCREF) released a
partial report at the start of the campaign which suggested Moise was
involved in money laundering, based on evidence of questionable financial
dealings by his companies (Agritrans SA, Jomar Auto Parts and others). Then,
Moise made a public appearance in Pestel (Grand’Anse) on August 27 with former
paramilitary leader and Senate candidate Guy Philippe by his side. Philippe is wanted
by US law enforcement on drug trafficking charges, and has repeatedly
threatened the interim government with civil war. In addition, Philippe is suspected
of involvement in a May 15 attack on the Les Cayes police commissariat. Human
rights activist Pierre Esperance called
the meeting “stunning,” “sad,” and “revolting.”
Moise
dismissed the UCREF allegations as “purely political” and defended his
appearance with Philippe. “I am campaigning and everyone understands what that
means: we are here to charm everyone,” Moise said.
“I didn't have a choice but to speak to him because I am currently seeking
votes.” Former Prime Minister Evans Paul announced
his support for the PHTK candidate, calling him the “authentic representative
of the people.” Although Paul’s KID is close to PHTK, Paul explained that his
party has not yet endorsed Moise’s candidacy.
Concerns
about election-related violence were heightened
by a cache of illegal arms seized by port authorities in Saint-Marc. On
September 8, port inspectors found over 150 firearms and 30,000 rounds of
ammunitions in an old school bus, which had been shipped to the Artibonite port
from Miami and was registered under the name of Charles E. Durand. Minister of
Security Himmler Rébu announced an investigation to determine who was the
intended recipient and declared that smuggled arms represent a serious threat
to the security and stability of the country. In January 2015, police officials
estimated
that there were 250,000 unregistered firearms in circulation in the country.
A
number of political forces have aligned behind Jude Célestin’s presidential bid.
The LAPEH candidate has
the backing of one-half of the Group of Eight candidates: Eric Jean-Baptiste
(MAS), Sauveur Pierre-Etienne (OPL), Mario Andresol (independent) and Steven
Benoit (Konviksyon). At his campaign launch in Arcahaie on August 31, Célestin
claimed he had been unfairly persecuted by the international community in the
2010 elections, calling on voters to redress this “injustice” on October 9.
OPL’s Pierre-Etienne reminded the crowd that it was Célestin’s boycott of the
January 24 elections that led to the Verification Commission and the rerun of
the presidential race. On September 15, Célestin signed
an accord with four parties (OPL, Vérité, Inite and ADEBHA) that officially
sealed a political alliance. Vérité and Inite are closely linked to former
President René Préval. Vérité’s candidate Jacky Lumarque was excluded from the
presidential race by the previous CEP. Célestin also received
the support of religious leaders of Haiti’s Vodou sector.
Fanmi
Lavalas’ Maryse Narcisse kicked off her campaign on August 29 with a large
march to Pétionville, accompanied by former President Jean-Bertrand Aristide.
Unlike in the 2015 elections, Aristide has been actively campaigning for Fanmi
Lavalas, joining a caravan to Cap-Haitïen with Narcisse. The FL caravan was greeted
by cheering crowds in Cabaret and Saint-Marc. In Gonaives, however,
anti-Lavalas protesters from the neighborhood of Raboteau reportedly forced FL
to cancel a planned public appearance. In Cap-Haitien, Aristide fell ill
shortly before he was supposed to speak and taken to the hospital where he was
treated for dehydration. Aristide was back on the campaign trail the next day,
telling the press that there was “a lot of dirty money” and numerous “professional
liars” tainting Haiti's presidential campaign.
Like
Célestin, Pitit Dessalines’ Moise Jean-Charles also chose the city of Arcahaie
for the launch of his presidential campaign on August 28. Jean-Charles is running
as a left-leaning “renovating socialist” and has the support of Dumarsais
Simeus, a wealthy Haitian-American businessman who attempted to run for
president in 2006. His campaign may be hindered by the loss of campaign manager
Daly Valet, who left to serve in the interim government. The former Senator and
mayor of Milot is widely seen to be competing with Narcisse for the votes of
the Lavalas base. When the Fanmi Lavalas caravan arrived in Cap-Haitien, some
Pitit Dessalines supporters angered
by the choice of Narcisse over Moise Jean-Charles demonstrated. “Where was
Maryse Narcisse after the political events of February 2004, while Jean Charles
was leading the resistance?” asked one of the protesters.
After
the incidents in Gonaives and Cap Haitien provoked by Narcisse’s and Aristide’s
tour, the CEP and Prime Minister Enex Jean-Charles both
warned
political parties that disruptions and violence would not be tolerated during
the campaign.
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