This Sunday, February 7 marked the 30th anniversary of Jean-Claude Duvalier’s departure and the end of President’s Michel Martelly’s term. A last-minute negotiated deal secured Martelly’s departure, but it may not succeed in producing a long-term solution. Tensions leading up to February 7 provoked violent confrontations between pro-government paramilitaries and opposition protestors in Port-au-Prince, resulting in one dead, as well as the cancellation of the first day of Carnival. And while foreign diplomats welcomed the accord, a number of opposition parties raised objections to the agreement.
On February 6, Martelly publicly signed a political accord
with Chancy Cholzer and Jocelerme Privert, the presidents of the Chamber of
Deputies and the Senate, respectively. The agreement confirmed that Martelly
would leave office and laid out a process for establishing a transitional
government to take over. The parliament will select a new provisional president
within 5 days following the end of Martelly’s term. The new president will then
engage in consultations to appoint a consensus prime minister and “redynamize”
the CEP. Once a new government is in place, the accord stipulates, it is responsible
for implementing the “technical recommendations” of the Evaluation Commission
and “restarting” the electoral process begun in 2015. The interrupted elections
are to resume on April 24, definitive results to be announced on May 6, and a
new President sworn in on May 14.
In his final speech
as President on Sunday, Martelly expressed
satisfaction with the political accord, saying lawmakers “gave me a guarantee
that the country is going to be stable.” Martelly also directly referred to the
electoral impasse, admitting that although he had the sense of “a job well done,”
there was also “a mission that is not yet completed.” A small group of PHTK
protestors greeted the outgoing president outside the parliament, wearing pink
shirts with the words “Je Suis Martelly.” Thousands of anti-Martelly protesters
also took to the streets
in the capital, the mood a mix of defiant celebration and uncertainty as to
what comes next.
The international community were unanimously favourable
toward the accord, emphasizing the need to complete the elections as quickly as
possible. The Core Group welcomed
the signing of the accord, seeing it as “a crucial step towards overcoming the
political challenges Haiti faces.” The Core Group statement described the
agreement as “a solution in keeping with the Constitution” and invited “the
actors concerned to implement all the commitments entered into,” especially “the
continuation of the electoral process within the timeframes indicated.” The
U.S. State Department also hailed the
accord for ensuring “the continuity of governance and the completion of the
ongoing electoral process.” UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon likewise celebrated
the accord for “providing a roadmap to the swift conclusion of the electoral
cycle underway.”
The Group of Eight (G-8), on the other hand, immediately condemned
the accord as anti-democratic and unconstitutional. The G-8 denounced the large
role given to parliament in the accord, given the questionable legitimacy of
many members of parliament. Instead, the Group suggested
an alternative solution by handing the power to the Court of Appeal and called
for the establishment of an electoral verification commission that would examine
both the October 25 and August 9 elections. Fanmi Lavalas made a similar call for an
investigation of both the presidential and legislative elections, as did other
parties such as FUSION, Kontrapèpla, and OPL. The G-8 statement, however,
was only signed by Samuel Madistin; although official still part of the G-8, Jude
Célestin and his party LAPEH have not yet made any statements regarding the
accord.
The accord was concluded on the heels of a tense day in the
capital and other cities. On Friday, groups of armed militia men claiming to be
ex-soldiers from Haiti’s disbanded military patrolled menacingly through Port-au-Prince,
Les Cayes and other cities. In Port-au-Prince,
the appearance of pro-government paramilitaries coincided with a demonstration calling
for Martelly’s resignation. Paramilitaries fired shots at the demonstrators near
Champs de Mars, who responded by attacking the ex-soldiers with stones,
resulting in the death of one paramilitary. After February 7, one paramilitary
member warned, “all illegal arms will become legal!” Neither MINUSTAH troops nor
HNP officers made any attempt to control the paramilitaries.
MINUSTAH condemned the
violence in a statement issued the following day and “noted with concern the organized
presence of several dozen people in green uniforms, some of whom were armed.” Although
it was unclear who was in charge of the armed men, former paramilitary leader
and Senate candidate Guy Philippe had recently threatened to have his
supporters march on Port-au-Prince. “We are ready for war,” Philippe said
in a radio interview on January 24. The G-8 pointed out the coincidence of the political
accord and the deployment of paramilitaries, criticizing the signatories for
ignoring this “serious event” and the threat it represents for democracy.
Earlier in the week, protests against the controversial arrival
of an OAS Special Mission had continued, with a sit-in
held outside the U.S. embassy on February 4. In a statement released
on Thursday, the Coordination Europe-Haiti (CoEH), for their part, urged the European
Union to support Haitian democracy, strongly criticizing the EU’s Electoral
Observation Mission for taking “the position of defending the legitimacy of the
25 October election outcome, even
after the Government
of Haiti’s decision
to postpone the
second round indefinitely.” The EU
Observation Mission was the only international mission to explicitly take this
stance. CoEH urged the Mission to “prove its independence and professionalism”
and “stop minimising the ‘serious’ irregularities, verging on fraud, as
observed by the BCEN and the CEEI during
their verifications, and denounced
by a large
majority of civil society and the political opposition.”
Despite strong opposition among Haitians to foreign
intervention, some foreign commentators claimed prior to the accord that a
Haitian-led solution was impossible. The Washington Post
insisted in a February 3 editorial that “a strong international hand is
required, one that can encourage or, if necessary, coerce the country’s
political, civic and business leaders to come to terms on a Haitian resolution.”
The OAS Special Mission, which was present during both the negotiations leading
to the accord and the signing ceremony on February 6, judged
that its presence had “a favourable impact on the search for a consensus
formula among the various groups.” The State Department also highlighted the “constructive
role” played by OAS Special Mission in fostering a “spirit of consensus.”
Following, Martelly’s verbal harassment
of Liliane Pierre-Paul, a journalist from Radio Kiskeya, women’s organizations
and civil groups organized
a gathering in support of Ms. Pierre-Paul, Jean Monard Métellus, from Radio
Television Caraibes, and the country’s independent media.
While Martelly may be gone, the resolution of Haiti’s electoral
crisis is far from guaranteed. Martelly departed as he came, as one headline put
it (in reference to his contested 2010 electoral victory): amid uncertain
and disorder.
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